Week 2 is in the books as Zachary has already done a magnificent job of covering here. With that comes more data and updated Playoff Predictions and Odds. We saw 4 teams reach the 200 point summit in Week 1 and 0 teams in Week 2, a bit of regression for everyone this week. And Deppen sitting at 0-2. God damn that was a fulfilling victory.
I plan on releasing championship odds after Week 4 along with the initial Power Rankings of the season. Playoff predictions and odds will still be included but this piece is just to hold us over until then. Patrick placed $20 on himself to make the playoffs at 1-1 odds this past week and looks to be a great value bet given this week’s odds. Being the league bookie, I encourage each of you to consider placing wagers at some point this season.
On to the good stuff…
Week 2 Playoff Results 2014:
In 2014 the four playoff teams went a combined 6-2 through Week 2 with Will and Pat getting to 2-0 and Grant and Zach at 1-1.
Week 2 Playoff Results 2015:
In 2015 the four playoff teams also went a combined 6-2 through Week 2 with Will and Grant getting to 2-0 and Pat and Brum at 1-1.
Based on this data, it is safe to assume 2-0 teams are a 100% lock to make the playoffs while 1-1 teams have a 50% chance. A team has never made the DFFL Playoffs following an 0-2 start. This will be the storyline of the season to follow seeing as Grant is sitting at 0-2.
Following up on Part II from last week where we compiled overall Week 1 records from 2014-2016, here are overall records through Week 2 from the same time frame.
’14-’16 Week 2 Record
- Will 6-0
- Pat 4-2
- Grant 3-3
- Zach 3-3
- Shontz 3-3
- Curlis 2-4
- Brum 2-4
- Rat 1-5
Will being 6-0 is impressive and not surprising. I am 3-0 in Week 2 after going 0-3 in season openers. And last but not least, Rat is 0-3 in Week 2. Week 3 going to be big though?
And now for some updated Playoff Predictions and Odds. First I will provide predictions following Week 2 and then will present playoff odds for all 8 teams.
Based on Week 2 results and historical data, the following four managers will make the playoffs in 2016:
Week 2 Playoff Odds: odds bolded next to team with last week’s odds in parenthesis
- Will 1-4 (1-4)
- Pat 1-2 (1-1)
- Curlis 1-2 (1-1)
- Zach 1-1 (3-1)
- Grant 1-1 (1-3)
- Shontz 3-2 (7-3)
- Brum 3-2 (3-2)
- Rat 11-2 (4-1)
Please contact me for any wagers or inquiries.